最近听到的都是大裁员消息,8月,美团、拉勾爆出裁员信息;10月, 阿里、京东等企业不同程度“缩招”。上个月,富士康又被爆出裁掉34万人。
最近听到的都是大裁员消息,8月,美团、拉勾爆出裁员信息;10月, 阿里、京东等企业不同程度“缩招”。
上个月,富士康又被爆出裁掉34万人。
多么震惊的数字,危机来得措不及手。
“还没反应过来怎么回事,就被通知明天不用来上班了。”一位被裁的42岁互联网高管说到。
这个时代真是残酷得让人有点害怕,前一秒还是年薪几十万的高管,后一秒就变成上有老下有小的无业游民。
但高管至少手握资源,有资本去寻求更好的工作,但对于不懂研发,不会技术的千千万万流水线工人来讲,想再找一份好工作就难了。
一位作家评论说道:未来几年,裁员情况只会越演越烈,这个时代不再有所谓的稳定工作,每个人都要做好被裁的准备。
话很扎心,却又很实在,就业寒冬正在悄悄降临。
01
大裁员环境下,永远不要假设危机不会降临到自己头上
财经作家薇薇讲过一个例子。
她有一个读者,08年的时候毕业,进入沃尔玛,非常厉害,全球500强排名第一的企业,她在公司做管培生。当时来看,前途一片光明。
可几年后,电子商务兴起,京东淘宝风生水起,线下零售吃紧,无论是巨头沃尔玛,还是其它零售门店,遭遇关闭大潮。
沃尔玛开启裁员大潮。
而她成了被裁员的第一批,因为根本没有员工可以给她培训了,大部分工作被机器人替代,而机器人根本不需要她来培训。
有一句话讲的很好:打败你的,永远是你看不见的对手。
我的一位朋友,今年刚好30岁,曾经在家人的各种走关系下,进了当地一家银行,当时在所有人看来,这是一份稳定又体面的工作,然而短短风光3年,他就被末位淘汰出来了。
上周他跟我聊天说到:这个时代真的变化太快了,我一直以为的铁饭碗竟然如此不堪一击,你说我这个年龄还能做点什么?
我苦笑:如果这三年,你保持点危机感,也不会被裁得那么快,拿着稳定的薪水,干着机械性录入资料的活,你觉得你能干一辈子吗?
曾经看似体面风光的银行业,早已成了裁员的“重灾区”,据数据统计仅2017年,五大国有银行总共裁员2.7万人,伴随的还有日益下降的薪资。
银行利用人工智不断在淘汰掉前台、柜员等基层员工。
当银行败给了支付宝微信、方便面输给了外卖,服装店输给了淘宝、香飘飘输给了奶茶店.....
你会发现,没有一个行业,一个岗位,能永远大把大把捞钱。国企改革,互联网转型,无论是新兴行业,还是传统事业单位,即使是公务员,也一样被这个时代大潮裹挟。
就如大润发创始人黄明端离职的时候说:即使你战胜了所有对手,但同样输给了时代。
02
别人在拼,而你在混,下一个被裁的就是你
大家应该还得朝夕前段时间转载的一篇文章《阿里无人酒店正式开业:时代抛弃你,连招呼都不会打!》。
文中那位做了十几年收费员的大妈说到:我36岁了,青春都交给了收费站,现在我什么都不会,你叫我怎么出去找工作?
可怜又可叹,我们常常沉浸于自己的岁月静好,而社会却依旧如江水般滔滔向前,待我们被一个现实的浪头拍醒,才发现已经落后了好多。
35岁的孙芝,是一家100余人的教育类创业公司的女老板,今年10月她裁掉了40位员工。
“并不是裁员,而是劝退,这些员工没有跟上公司的成长,有点被边缘化。被裁掉的这些员工大都还停留在简单的重复劳动上,我不需要只停留在执行力层面的员工。”孙芝说到。
事实告诉我们,每一个面临被裁员的人,不是因为他们懒惰,更不是因为他们不努力,只是他们天真地以为,我付出我所有的时间和精力,就一定能得到不错的回报。
如果非要说他们哪里错了,在我看来,他们错就错在,低估了这个时代的变化。
社会疾速,时代很残酷。
在如今这个时代,如果你隐居三年,彻底与世隔绝,当再次回归红尘之中,你会感到恍如隔了一个世纪。
在这个变幻莫测的时代,别只顾着低头拉车,更要抬头看路。
03
岁月何曾饶过谁?除了那些有准备的人
在这个被任意洗牌的社会,如果你想追求安稳,简直就是妄想。
温水煮青蛙的故事我们都知道,如果青蛙一直陶醉在稳定的舒适区,幻想着岁月静好,结果只会是:水热到发烫,最终无力跳出。
在这个变化不断的时代里,我们就好像在大浪里航行的船,要学会和风浪抗衡,而不是奢望什么岁月静好。
成年人的世界里,从来没有容易二字。
你要明白:“在这个时代,你的工作会背叛你,你的行业会背叛你,你的专业会背叛你,唯一不会背叛你的,是你的认知和你的能力。”
你必须始终保持旺盛的学习力,并不断尝试新鲜事物。接纳变化、死磕目标、持续成长...只有这样,你才能在面对“裁员”的那一天,从容地笑着离开,而不是焦虑彷徨束手无策。
当“黑天鹅”袭来,愿我们每个人都能不惊不慌,体面离开。
我们面对的是一个越来越复杂和动荡的世界;
没有一种商业模式是长存的;
没有一种竞争力是永恒的;
没有一种资产是稳固的;
作为一个企业的老板或者合伙人,你有没有想过资本经济时代的股权;
中国股权投资时代已经来临,正是中小型企业进入资本市场的最佳时机!
中国中小企业的平均寿命仅2.5年,集团企业的平均寿命仅7-8年。不仅企业的生命周期短,能做强做大的企业更是廖廖无几。企业做不长、做不大的根源当然很多,但核心根源却只有一个——企业的股权出了问题!
真格基金创始人提出:合伙人的重要性超过了商业模式和行业选择,比你是否处于风口上更重要。
企业的死亡不是死于外部的竞争,而是死于企业内耗。中国有句老话,生意好做,伙计难搁。
股权既是一门技术,也是一门艺术。
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